If I Were Iran I Would Be Leery of US Ceasefire Overtures
If I Were
Iran, I would Be Leery of US Ceasefire Overtures
Junious Ricardo Stanton
During a profanity laced rant on
Easter Sunday, Donald (Wyllie E Coyote) Trump threatened to bomb Iran into the
stone age, then he gave Iran an ultimatum, a deadline to open the Straits of
Hormuz. Trump reiterated his threats again Monday providing an Eight PM Eastern
Time deadline on Tuesday Aril 7th for Iran to open the Strait of
Hormuz and come to the negotiating table. The clock was ticking; there were
rumors of frantic back-channel negotiations but no proof. Then at almost the
last moment a two-week ceasefire was announced! Tuesday TACO which was a good
thing.
Up until then Trump, being a bully,
was into his usual bombast, bluster and bravado designed to keep up the illusion
the US was obliterating Iran and winning the war. Trump in his insanity openly
boasted the US was going to commit war crimes by attacking Iranian civilian
infrastructure, bridges, power generating and water treatment facilities and,
in his own words, “destroy Iranian civilization”.
But Trump’s swag and bluster are
fake, he has been thoroughly out-strategized by Iran who holds all the cards.
All the US has is the ability to commit mass murder and devastating destruction
at will; but given what happened before Easter when the US tried to launch a snatch
and grab raid into Iran under the guise of rescuing a downed fighter jet crew which
met severe disaster, the US has once again shown itself to be outclassed in
this conflict!
What the US mind control apparatus
failed to tell Americans is that during the illegal and unprovoked attacks
against Iran, Israel and the US both in June of 2025 and this current war, were
totally unprepared for Iran’s asymmetric military response. Yes, Iran suffered
massive damage to its military facilities and some of its civilian
infrastructure but the truth of the matter is, Iran has dealt devastating blows
against Israel and US allies in the Gulf!
Iran hit US bases, radar, defense, air fields and oil and natural gas
facilities hosted by US allies in: Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and
United Arab Emirates. These attacks have wreaked global havoc, causing major
consternation, distress, ill will against the US and by extension Israel! By
choaking the Strait of Hormuz Iran has totally disrupted supply lines and denied
access to oil, natural gas and other essential materials needed by global
markets! Trump is taking a massive PR hit for this!
Iran totally outplayed the US and Israel. The
US was forced to withdraw its vaunted aircraft carriers out of range of Iran
missiles and drones thus showing the world the US it a paper tiger who couldn’t
honor its promises to protect its Gulf Cooperation Council allies and the fact the
US prioritized Israel over them and its Asian allies like Japan and South
Korea. This was not a good look and
Trump and Co found themselves in a major pickle. Potential adversaries watched and saw how
vulnerable the US military really is.
Iran has tactfully won this war! By
restricting traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. with the Houthis their staunch
ally threatening to choke the Strait of Bab al-Mandeb which connects the Red
Sea and the Arbian Sea, Iran has dealt a powerful blow hitting America and the
world where it hurts the most, economically. Trump’s (Wyllie E. Coyote) folly of
attacking Iran has blown up in his face and left him with limited options;
either: more escalation which is a lose-lose scenario for him or press for a
cease-fire. He was forced to press for a ceasefire, Trump not Iran begged for the
ceasefire!
Meanwhile Israel is taking a tremendous
pounding because they have used up all of their defense missiles and their protective
defensive systems have been neutralized. Iran is targeting them at will. Tel
Aviv is starting to resemble a bombed-out Gaza. Israel has strict censorship;
they do not allow pictures of the massive damage to get into the public domain;
but the limited optics which are getting out show Israel is in tatters.
Keep in mind the same thing
happened during the June 2025 conflict, Iran shocked Israel with their
response, they were able to probe and discover Israel’s weaknesses then get
through the Israeli defense shields. It was so devasting, Irael urged Trump to
press for a ceasefire after twelve days! The same thing is happening now only
its worse for Israel. Israel is being pummeled.
The recent US raid failed and the
US lost several aircraft assets and suffered major personnel casualties; nevertheless,
Trump is spinning it as a heroic rescue. Based upon this, the US knows a full-scale
invasion or land assault will not work, further limiting Trump’s options. Like
a man who only has a hammer Trump (Wyllie E. Coyote) treats everything like
it’s a nail. All Trump could do was make threats, talk tough and bluster. There
is an anacronym, TACO which stands for Trump Always Chickens Out, this
is what he did again.
So now Wyllie E Coyote has proposed
a cease-fire for two weeks. However, if I were in Iran’s position, I would
never trust anything Trump, Netanyahu or America says, ever. We have seen how
Trump fulfills the Native American saying, “The white man speaks with forked
tongue”.
Iran holds the major leverage and
has shown its reliance, valor and unity as a nation. Most of the Europeans aren’t willing to side
with Trump on this folly because they see what Iran is capable of and they are
feeling the pain this war is causing them. This war is a lose-lose proposition
for Europe and Asia so they are cheering the ceasefire. But for my money, I would never give the
US/Israel the chance to regroup again, ever. But time will tell.
-30-
posted by Junious Ricardo Stanton @ 6:25 AM
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